11 identity trends to watch in 2011
06 January, 2011
category: Contactless, Digital ID, Financial, Government
Identity will continue to occupy a prime position in the minds of entrepreneurs, the C-suite, IT and security professionals, regulators, Jane and General Doe. And while some people are waiting for the next revision of the National Strategy for Trusted Identities in Cyberspace and the Federal Identity, Credentialing and Access Management Guidance (aka Part B) many other parts of the world and areas of business activity feel no need to wait and see.
In fact national ID programs, social networking, mobile and e-commerce are all moving out on their own. And while the Personal Identity Verification Interoperability framework now provides a comprehensive set of standards and guidelines for enterprise identity it will have to contend with the greater forces of Internet identity.
Taking this into account the following are 11 areas to watch in the new year:
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Mobile identity always has been and will continue to be the biggest game in town. Each year nearly 5 billion smart card technology subscriber identity modules are sold. And as smart phones grow in sophistication and as a result occupy an increasing percentage of user screen time they will become the most important area in the identity marketplace.
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None of the Facebook, Google, OpenID, triad will actually manage to issue trusted identities in 2011 and consumers will continue to fail to realize they are the product and not the customer for these and many other identity providers.
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Contactless technologies will continue to evolve and provide high assurance alternatives to chip and PIN—even while chip and PIN finally catches on in the U.S.—making further inroads into mobile commerce, transportation and physical access.
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India will continue to exhibit leadership and reap the benefits as a leader in the deployment of smart identity credentials based on its massive identity registration program of more than 1 billion individuals.
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The adoption of PIV-I in the enterprise will gain steam, particularly in the defense industrial base and also in critical infrastructure.
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OAuth2 will provide Internet identities with a means of leaving the world of the unknown and un-trusted and will continue to see wide adoption as the means to authenticate APIs.
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The User Managed Access work of the Kantara Initiative will gain support as it addresses the overarching requirement of the need for user control of personal information in the era of shared infrastructure.
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Identity will continue to play a key role in cyberwarfare while the pendulum swings back to the middle in information sharing as a result of Wikileaks (see OMB M-11-08).
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Consumers will demand the adoption and benefits of commercial off-the-shelf application software to provide privacy and identity protection of data at rest and in motion via encryption and secure channels in their day to day communications with banks, health care organizations, and other organizations even in those states where it is not mandated.
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The upgrade to the Social Security card will face an uphill battle with a Republican House of Representatives despite the obvious needs and benefits.
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Identity theft and fraud will continue to grow and be subsidized by consumers via premiums, user fees and interest rates without the mandate for strong interoperable identities. And while the National Strategy for Trusted Identities will talk the talk it remains to be seen if it can walk the walk.
About the AVISIAN Publishing Expert Panel
At the close of each year, AVISIAN Publishing’s editorial team selects a group of key leaders from various sectors of the ID technology market to serve as Expert Panelists. Each individual is asked to share their unique insight into what lies ahead. During the month of December, these panelist’s predictions are published daily at the appropriate title within the AVISIAN suite of ID technology publications: SecureIDNews, ContactlessNews, CR80News, NFCNews, DigitalIDNews, ThirdFactor, RFIDNews, EnterpriseIDNews, FinancialIDNews, GovernmentIDNews, HealthIDNews, FIPS201.com, IDNoticias es.
